Undrafted Ed Dickson Color Rush Jersey , undersized Ford making impact with SeahawksUndrafted, undersized defensive tackle Poona Ford making impact with Seattle SeahawksUpdated mock draft with trades: 27th December | Seahawks Draft BlogIt's difficult to predict how teams will view Jeffery Simmons. It's also a challenging conversation to have. Simmons was filmed punching a woman asInjury Updates From Pete Carroll Ahead Of The Seahawks’ Week 17 Game vs CardinalsSeahawks coach Pete Carroll provides injury updates ahead of his team's regular season finale against the Cardinals.Three Key Matchups: Seahawks vs CardinalsBreaking down three matchups that could make the difference in Seattle’s Week 17 game against the Arizona Cardinals.Fantasy Insider: 2018 Recap & Look Ahead, Plus How To Thank Fantasy Heroes Like Chris CarsonSeahawks running back Chris Carson helped many fantasy owners win their league championship, and if you're looking for a nice way to spend some of your winnings, Scott Engel at RotoExperts.com proposes fantasy owners consider thanking the players who help2018 Week 17: Seahawks vs Cardinals Picks & PredictionsLocal and national media predict the winner of Sunday's regular-season finale between the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals at CenturyLink Field.Arizona Cardinals: Getting to know the SeahawksFive questions answered ahead of the Arizona Cardinals taking on the Seattle Seahawks in the 2018 regular season finale on SundayPete Carroll gives status of 6 Seahawks starters for Sunday | The News TribuneCoach Pete Carroll says left guard J.R. Sweezy has an “unusual” foot injury but that he will be ready for the playoff opener next week. The coach also gives the status of five other injured starters for Sunday’s regular-season finale against Arizona.Clayton: What to watch for in Seahawks' regular season finale vs CardinalsThe Seahawks' O-line will be short-handed if guards J.R. Sweezy (foot) and D.J. Fluker (hamstring) are out. But that won't chance Seattle's philosophy of running the ball -- especially against the Cardinals 32nd-ranked rushing defense.Analysis: Five reasons why Pete Carroll is the most successful coach in Seahawks history | The Seattle TimesCarroll's record of 88-54-1 is the best for any coach in Seahawks history.Ron Rivera: Talks with Panthers owner 'all positive' - NFL.comTwo days before the Panthers' season finale against the Saints, Ron Rivera said he's preparing to coach Carolina in 2019 given his recent conversations with first-year owner David Tepper.Injuries: Todd Gurley (knee) out for Rams vs. 49ers - NFL.comTodd Gurley, who didn't play last week because of a knee injury, will not play in the Rams' regular-season finale against the 49ers, coach Sean McVay says. Here are the other injuries we're monitoring ahead of Sunday's games.Marcus Mariota questionable for Titans vs. Colts - NFL.comTennessee Titans coach Mike Vrabel isn't ready to say whether Marcus Mariota will be under center for the Tennessee Titans' all-important showdown with the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday.Teddy Bridgewater will start for Saints vs. Panthers - NFL.comBackup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater will start over Drew Brees in Sunday's regular-season finale against the Carolina Panthers, coach Sean Payton says.Antonio Brown (knee) questionable to play for Steelers - NFL.comWill Antonio Brown play in the most important game of the season for the Pittsburgh Steelers? The standout wide receiver is listed as questionable for Sunday's regular-season finale.Quincy Enunwa signs four-year Jaron Brown Color Rush Jersey , $36M Jets extension - NFL.comThe New York Jets are making sure one of their top wide receivers won't hit the open market. The team signed Quincy Enunwa to a multiyear extension on Friday.Kyle Williams retiring after 13 seasons with Bills - NFL.comBuffalo Bills defensive tackle Kyle Williams announces he is retiring from football following Sunday's game against the Miami Dolphins. Williams played his entire 13-year NFL career with the Bills.Tom Brady set to earn none of his incentives – ProFootballTalkThis year the Patriots and Tom Brady agreed to a revised contract that was designed to pay him more like the elite quarterback he has been throughout his NFL career.11 games have playoff implications on Sunday – ProFootballTalkWhich games should you watch on Sunday? The games with playoff implications. Those include two games that have playoff implications for both teams and nine games that have playoff implications for one team. Sunday I took a look another look at one piece of the Seattle Seahawks offensive playcalling in 2018, and how the offense only utilized Tyler Lockett as a rushing threat in a very narrow set of..." The OffseasonStats2018 Seahawks rode the plus side of variance to successNew,28commentsPDTSunday I took a look another look at one piece of the Seattle Seahawks offensive playcalling in 2018, and how the offense only utilized Tyler Lockett as a rushing threat in a very narrow set of circumstances when it comes to down and distance. Today, I’m going to dig a little deeper into one specific part of the article by Matty F. Brown that was published Friday. Specifically, what I’m going to dig into is the following tweet. Before I jump right into the numbers, let me just state that according to the Pro-Football-Reference.com game play finder, the Seahawks did not convert to a new set of downs 75% of the time when the team called a run play on 2nd & 10. To back up that assertion, here’s a table of every single running play called by the Seattle offense on 2nd & 10 during the 2018 season. 2nd & 10 Runs by Seahawks in 2018WeekOpponentQuarterTime LeftScore DiffFirst Down ConvertedSecond Down Play3rd Down Yards To GoConversion Probability (NFL)Conversion Probability (Seahawks)Third Down PlayWeekOpponentQuarterTime LeftScore DiffFirst Down ConvertedSecond Down Play3rd Down Yards To GoConversion Probability (NFL)Conversion Probability (Seahawks)Third Down PlaySo, looking at those 2nd & 10 plays from the 2018 seasons on which the Seahawks ran Tre Flowers Color Rush Jersey , we see that it’s actually 27 times the Hawks ran on 2nd & 10. Thus, the 18 conversions following a 2nd & 10 run represent a 67% conversion rate, which is obviously very good. In fact, it’s better than the conversion rate after throwing on 2nd & 10 in 2018, which was 55.8% (Author’s note: It appears Rossler’s percentages are different due to counting scrambles as called run plays, when by my opinion, they are called pass plays that failed into run plays. Thus, I’ve included them in the calculation of gaining a first down after calling a pass play on 2nd & 10).In any case, the fact still remains that Seattle was more likely to convert a 2nd & 10 into a first down by running in 2018 than it was by passing. However, is that an actual trend or is it simply randomness? As you can see in the above table David Moore Color Rush Jersey , I’ve included the conversion probability for the third down of the distance created by each of the 2nd & 10 running plays called over the course of the 2018 season. By summing these together, we can see that the Hawks far exceeded expectations. Based on the numbers used, for the 24 third down plays which followed the second down runs that came with ten yards to go, there are two different conversion probabilities. The first is the league wide conversion rate for third downs of that distance and the second is the Seahawks conversion rate for third downs of that distance. Summing each of these columns, the Hawks would have been expected to convert 12.9365 first downs using the NFL conversion probabilities and13.484 first downs using the Seahawks conversion probabilities. As seen when adding up the number of “Yes”es in the First Down Converted column, the Hawks eventually converted 18 first downs from these 27 second and ten runs. These numbers include the three conversions which came on rushes of ten or more yards (one by Chris Carson and two by Lockett) on 2nd & 10, along with the probability of converting each of the 24 third downs. So, the question then becomes what led to the offense converting four or five more first downs than would be expected? There are probably those who would argue that it’s because the team has Russell Wilson and he’s a really, really good quarterback. However, that argument seems to ignore the fact that Seattle converted below league average overall on third down https://www.theseahawksfanshop.com , which is something that one might expect if that were the cause. In any case, here’s a second table that includes all of the third down plays which followed a run on 2nd & 10 by the Hawks during the 2018 season in case anyone wants to attempt to discern any type of pattern. The only thing that really sticks out initially to me is that Wilson has a sack rate of 20% on third down after the team has run the ball on 2nd & 10, but that doesn’t have anything to do with converting, so I don’t have any further insight on what in particular allowed the team to outperform expectations. Perhaps it was Wilson. Perhaps it was Lockett and Doug Baldwin. Perhaps it was randomness.Third down play results following a 2nd & 10 run by the 2018 SeahawksWeekOpponentQuarterTime LeftFirst Down Converted3rd Down Yards To GoThird Down PlayWeekOpponentQuarterTime LeftFirst Down Converted3rd Down Yards To GoThird Down Play Whatever it was, it was the upside of variance, and here’s to hoping they can catch that upside wave again during the 2019 season.